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Before starting, would you like to play with below map?

It is the Racial Integrity Ranking Map of states where n1 = most integrated

Los Angeles, CA

Columbus, OH

We have the daily data of police stops in both city centers between 2013 & 2015.

Both of them looks quite diversified, right?
Would you like to know how fair the traffic police is?

Los Angeles

City Population %  

Police Population %

Count of Stops %

per Race

Columbus

City Population %  

Police Population %

Count of Stops %

per Race

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This is the LA city:

This is the Columbus city:

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This is the LA police:

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This is the Columbus police:

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At the first glance, stop counts seem somehow balanced, eh?

Maybe, stop count of blacks might be a little bit higher than expected in LA?

Wait, it is too early to judge! We need to interpret not only the counts, but the behavior of the drivers & the police!

The methodology is to calculate two main features:
1- Driver Impact Score (DIS)
2- Police Response Score (PRS)

Check out below example video to understand these scores:

Correlation matrices is the the best and easiest way of having an insight about the relation between independent features. Are you ready to see the correlation between race and DIS & PRS?

If you look carefully, we ping the cells you need to focus on.

Los Angeles

Race vs Scores

Correlation Matrix

Columbus

Race vs Scores

Correlation Matrix

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Oops! We have four findings here. Now, we need to ask below questions:

1. Might LA police over-respond to Hispanic drivers, even though Hispanic drivers might commit lower crimes than others?

2. Might Middle Eastern drivers in LA higher crimes than others?

3. Might Columbus police over-respond to the black drivers?

4. Might Hispanic drivers in Columbus higher crimes than others?

 

To answer these, let's deep dive into distribution of the data. Box-plots below might seem too complex at the first sight. Don't worry, we picked what you need to catch. See?

Los Angeles

Driver Impact Score Box-plot

per Race

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Columbus

Driver Impact Score Box-plot

per Race

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Los Angeles

Police Response Score Box-plot

per Race

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Columbus

Police Response Score Box-plot

per Race

When we check DIS and PRS distributions on race, we have that there is a significant divergence of black drivers in Columbus for both scorings, particularly in Police Responce score.

Well, here is the histogram of DIS & PRS in Columbus

per black and all others:

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What do you think?

Let us tell you what we think. There is a portion of black people who commit higher crimes than others in traffic. However, the Ohio traffic police tends to over-respond to the all black drivers.

It is statistically proved that the average DIS of black people is not significantly higher than the others; while the average PRS towards them is.

DIS (Driver Impact Score): 15

DUI (Driving Under Influence): 10

Non-moving: 5

PRS (Police Response Score): 21

Incidental to Arrest: 8

Frisk: 5

Inventory Search: 8

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Bahar Turkeli, 2019

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